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The Province of

Huabei

Population: 141.9M
GDP: ¥402B
NPC districts: 323
Lean: Center-Left, Lean Trad
Government approval: 53.4%
Governor: Liu BingyanCCP

Population

101

Political lean

Econ -1.1Soc +1.7

Turnout

81.3%

Demographic categories

1

Local newsrooms lean Econ -1.0, Soc -1.0. They are pulling opinion toward it by about Econ +0.00, Soc -0.01 per day.

Electorate — strategy board

State projectionCDL +1

China Democratic League 37%Chinese Communist Party 36%China National Democratic Construction Association 28%50% flip line

Persuadable1 groups

100%

Persuadable100%

汉(

汉族 (Han)

Persuadable

民族 (Background) · 100.0% of this region's voters

Share of electorate

100.0%

Turnout habit

Reliable

82% show up

Leaning toward

No clear favorite

Persuadable

Economic lean

Center-left

Average -1.1 · Left -5 to right +5

Social lean

Traditional

Average +1.8 · Progressive -5 to traditional +5

Turnout updated: Oct 16, 2026

Ethnicity

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
Han	92%	0.0%	84.0%
Zhuang	0%	0.0%	80.0%
Hui	2%	0.0%	78.0%
Uyghur	0%	0.0%	72.0%
Tibetan	0%	0.0%	70.0%
Other minority	6%	0.0%	76.0%

Age Distribution

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
Young (18-29)	29%	0.0%	75.0%
Mid (30-44)	27%	0.0%	84.0%
Mature (45-64)	30%	0.0%	88.0%
Senior (65+)	14%	0.0%	82.0%

Education (Highest)

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
Primary or below	48%	0.0%	79.0%
Secondary	44%	0.0%	83.0%
Vocational	5%	0.0%	84.0%
University	3%	0.0%	88.0%

Household Income

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
Lower income	55%	0.0%	79.0%
Middle income	40%	0.0%	85.0%
Upper income	5%	0.0%	90.0%

Urbanization

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
Urban	36%	0.0%	86.0%
County town	16%	0.0%	82.0%
Rural	48%	0.0%	80.0%

How to read turnout data

Turnout % = Baseline + GOTV modifier (expected turnout for this group)
GOTV ± = party boost or suppression vs baseline
Green = Higher than baseline (GOTV/canvassing boost)
Red = Lower than baseline
Modifiers decay 2% per turn toward 0

Population

101

Political lean

Econ -1.1Soc +1.7

Turnout

81.3%

Demographic categories

1

Local newsrooms lean Econ -1.0, Soc -1.0. They are pulling opinion toward it by about Econ +0.00, Soc -0.01 per day.

Electorate — strategy board

State projectionCDL +1

China Democratic League 37%Chinese Communist Party 36%China National Democratic Construction Association 28%50% flip line

Persuadable1 groups

100%

Persuadable100%

汉(

汉族 (Han)

Persuadable

民族 (Background) · 100.0% of this region's voters

Share of electorate

100.0%

Turnout habit

Reliable

82% show up

Leaning toward

No clear favorite

Persuadable

Economic lean

Center-left

Average -1.1 · Left -5 to right +5

Social lean

Traditional

Average +1.8 · Progressive -5 to traditional +5

Turnout updated: Oct 16, 2026

Ethnicity

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
Han	92%	0.0%	84.0%
Zhuang	0%	0.0%	80.0%
Hui	2%	0.0%	78.0%
Uyghur	0%	0.0%	72.0%
Tibetan	0%	0.0%	70.0%
Other minority	6%	0.0%	76.0%

Age Distribution

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
Young (18-29)	29%	0.0%	75.0%
Mid (30-44)	27%	0.0%	84.0%
Mature (45-64)	30%	0.0%	88.0%
Senior (65+)	14%	0.0%	82.0%

Education (Highest)

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
Primary or below	48%	0.0%	79.0%
Secondary	44%	0.0%	83.0%
Vocational	5%	0.0%	84.0%
University	3%	0.0%	88.0%

Household Income

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
Lower income	55%	0.0%	79.0%
Middle income	40%	0.0%	85.0%
Upper income	5%	0.0%	90.0%

Urbanization

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
Urban	36%	0.0%	86.0%
County town	16%	0.0%	82.0%
Rural	48%	0.0%	80.0%

How to read turnout data

Turnout % = Baseline + GOTV modifier (expected turnout for this group)
GOTV ± = party boost or suppression vs baseline
Green = Higher than baseline (GOTV/canvassing boost)
Red = Lower than baseline
Modifiers decay 2% per turn toward 0