Hessen | Germany | A House Divided

Germany is an econ-only nation. You can view every page here, but you cannot run for office, join a party, or vote.

Population

101

Political lean

Econ -0.7Soc +0.6

Turnout

72.6%

Demographic categories

Local newsrooms lean Econ -1.0, Soc -1.0. They are pulling opinion toward it by about Econ -0.01, Soc -0.03 per day.

Electorate — strategy board

State projectionCDU +3

Christlich Demokratische Union 23%Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern 20%Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands 19%Freie Demokratische Partei 16%Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 13%Partei des Demokratischen Sozialismus 10%50% flip line

Persuadable1 groups

100%

Persuadable100%

Deutsche

Persuadable

Herkunft · 100.0% of this region's voters

Share of electorate

100.0%

Turnout habit

Reliable

77% show up

Leaning toward

No clear favorite

Persuadable

Economic lean

Center-left

Average -0.5 · Left -5 to right +5

Social lean

Traditional

Average +0.6 · Progressive -5 to traditional +5

Turnout updated: Oct 16, 2026

Ethnicity / Background

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
German (no migration background)	84%	0.0%	78.0%
Turkish / Russian-German	6%	0.0%	58.0%
MENA	3%	0.0%	52.0%
EU Southern / Eastern	5%	0.0%	60.0%
Other	2%	0.0%	55.0%

Age Distribution

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
Young (18-29)	20%	0.0%	70.0%
Mid (30-44)	24%	0.0%	76.0%
Mature (45-64)	33%	0.0%	81.0%
Senior (65+)	23%	0.0%	84.0%

Education (Highest)

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
No / Hauptschule	21%	0.0%	68.0%
Vocational (Lehre)	49%	0.0%	76.0%
Abitur / Fachhochschulreife	15%	0.0%	80.0%
University degree	15%	0.0%	83.0%

Household Income

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
Lower income	21%	0.0%	68.0%
Middle income	53%	0.0%	78.0%
Upper income	26%	0.0%	82.0%

Urbanization

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
Urban	48%	0.0%	76.0%
Suburban / town	32%	0.0%	77.0%
Rural	20%	0.0%	78.0%

How to read turnout data

Turnout % = Baseline + GOTV modifier (expected turnout for this group)
GOTV ± = party boost or suppression vs baseline
Green = Higher than baseline (GOTV/canvassing boost)
Red = Lower than baseline
Modifiers decay 2% per turn toward 0