Cork | Ireland | A House Divided

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Population

99

Political lean

Econ +0.0Soc +0.8

Turnout

60.7%

Demographic categories

1

Electorate — strategy board

State projectionFF +10

Fianna Fáil 31%Labour 21%Fine Gael 17%Progressive Democrats 17%Workers' Party 14%50% flip line

Persuadable1 groups

100%

Persuadable100%

I

Irish

Persuadable

Background · 100.0% of this region's voters

Share of electorate

100.0%

Turnout habit

Occasional

63% show up

Leaning toward

No clear favorite

Persuadable

Economic lean

Center-left

Average -0.5 · Left -5 to right +5

Social lean

Traditional

Average +0.5 · Progressive -5 to traditional +5

Turnout updated: Oct 16, 2026

Ethnicity / Background

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
Irish	96%	0.0%	67.0%
UK / British	2%	0.0%	55.0%
Other EU	1%	0.0%	40.0%
Rest of world	1%	0.0%	30.0%

Age Distribution

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
Young (18-29)	26%	0.0%	46.0%
Mid (30-44)	24%	0.0%	62.0%
Mature (45-64)	29%	0.0%	70.0%
Senior (65+)	21%	0.0%	78.0%

Education (Highest)

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
Primary or less	34%	0.0%	54.0%
Leaving Certificate	36%	0.0%	62.0%
Post-secondary / PLC	18%	0.0%	68.0%
Third-level degree	12%	0.0%	76.0%

Household Income

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
Lower income	32%	0.0%	52.0%
Middle income	52%	0.0%	65.0%
Upper income	16%	0.0%	74.0%

Urbanization

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
City / urban	50%	0.0%	60.0%
Town	25%	0.0%	65.0%
Rural	25%	0.0%	68.0%

How to read turnout data

Turnout % = Baseline + GOTV modifier (expected turnout for this group)
GOTV ± = party boost or suppression vs baseline
Green = Higher than baseline (GOTV/canvassing boost)
Red = Lower than baseline
Modifiers decay 2% per turn toward 0