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The Zone of

South-West

Population: 20.5M
GDP: ₦200B
House districts: 72
Lean: Centrist, Moderate
Government approval: 52.6%
Governor: Aminata OkonkwoSDP

Population

100

Political lean

Econ +0.1Soc -0.0

Turnout

48.1%

Demographic categories

27

Electorate — strategy board

State projectionSDP +10

Social Democratic Party 55%National Republican Convention 45%50% flip line

Leans SDP1 groups

54%

Persuadable1 groups

46%

Leans SDP54%

Persuadable46%

C

Christians

Leans SDP

Faith · 54.0% of this region's voters

Share of electorate

54.0%

Turnout habit

Low-propensity

49% show up

Leaning toward

Social Democratic Party

Closest platform match

Economic lean

Centrist

Average +0.0 · Left -5 to right +5

Social lean

Moderate

Average +0.1 · Progressive -5 to traditional +5

Turnout updated: Oct 16, 2026

Ethnicity

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
hausa_fulani	2%	0.0%	42.0%
yoruba	88%	0.0%	55.0%
igbo	1%	0.0%	58.0%
minority	9%	0.0%	45.0%

Age distribution

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
young	52%	0.0%	38.0%
mid	27%	0.0%	50.0%
mature	14%	0.0%	55.0%
senior	7%	0.0%	50.0%

Education

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
basic	35%	0.0%	40.0%
secondary	40%	0.0%	50.0%
tertiary	25%	0.0%	60.0%

Household income

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
low	35%	0.0%	38.0%
middle	40%	0.0%	50.0%
high	25%	0.0%	62.0%

Urbanization

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
urban	60%	0.0%	52.0%
suburban	20%	0.0%	50.0%
rural	20%	0.0%	38.0%

How to read turnout data

Turnout % = Baseline + GOTV modifier (expected turnout for this group)
GOTV ± = party boost or suppression vs baseline
Green = Higher than baseline (GOTV/canvassing boost)
Red = Lower than baseline
Modifiers decay 2% per turn toward 0