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The County of

Western Sweden

Population: 1.5M
GDP: kr410B
Riksdag districts: 59
Lean: Centrist, Moderate
Government approval: 49.1%
Governor: Vacant

Population

100

Political lean

Econ -0.3Soc -0.4

Turnout

88.1%

Demographic categories

27

Electorate — strategy board

State projectionC +4

Centerpartiet 22%Folkpartiet 18%Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 17%Moderata samlingspartiet 13%Kristdemokratiska samhällspartiet 13%Vänsterpartiet 10%Ny Demokrati 8%50% flip line

Persuadable2 groups

100%

Persuadable100%

S

Svenskar

Persuadable

Bakgrund · 97.0% of this region's voters

Share of electorate

97.0%

Turnout habit

Reliable

91% show up

Leaning toward

No clear favorite

Persuadable

Economic lean

Centrist

Average -0.2 · Left -5 to right +5

Social lean

Moderate

Average -0.2 · Progressive -5 to traditional +5

Turnout updated: Oct 16, 2026

Ethnicity

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
swedish	90%	0.0%	92.0%
immigrant	8%	0.0%	70.0%
other	2%	0.0%	65.0%

Age distribution

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
young	28%	0.0%	84.0%
mid	29%	0.0%	92.0%
mature	24%	0.0%	93.0%
senior	19%	0.0%	90.0%

Education

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
primary_or_below	32%	0.0%	88.0%
secondary	40%	0.0%	92.0%
vocational	18%	0.0%	92.0%
university	10%	0.0%	94.0%

Household income

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
low	18%	0.0%	88.0%
middle	60%	0.0%	92.0%
high	22%	0.0%	93.0%

Urbanization

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
urban	78%	0.0%	91.0%
suburban	12%	0.0%	92.0%
rural	10%	0.0%	90.0%

How to read turnout data

Turnout % = Baseline + GOTV modifier (expected turnout for this group)
GOTV ± = party boost or suppression vs baseline
Green = Higher than baseline (GOTV/canvassing boost)
Red = Lower than baseline
Modifiers decay 2% per turn toward 0

Population

100

Political lean

Econ -0.3Soc -0.4

Turnout

88.1%

Demographic categories

27

Electorate — strategy board

State projectionC +4

Centerpartiet 22%Folkpartiet 18%Sveriges socialdemokratiska arbetareparti 17%Moderata samlingspartiet 13%Kristdemokratiska samhällspartiet 13%Vänsterpartiet 10%Ny Demokrati 8%50% flip line

Persuadable2 groups

100%

Persuadable100%

S

Svenskar

Persuadable

Bakgrund · 97.0% of this region's voters

Share of electorate

97.0%

Turnout habit

Reliable

91% show up

Leaning toward

No clear favorite

Persuadable

Economic lean

Centrist

Average -0.2 · Left -5 to right +5

Social lean

Moderate

Average -0.2 · Progressive -5 to traditional +5

Turnout updated: Oct 16, 2026

Ethnicity

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
swedish	90%	0.0%	92.0%
immigrant	8%	0.0%	70.0%
other	2%	0.0%	65.0%

Age distribution

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
young	28%	0.0%	84.0%
mid	29%	0.0%	92.0%
mature	24%	0.0%	93.0%
senior	19%	0.0%	90.0%

Education

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
primary_or_below	32%	0.0%	88.0%
secondary	40%	0.0%	92.0%
vocational	18%	0.0%	92.0%
university	10%	0.0%	94.0%

Household income

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
low	18%	0.0%	88.0%
middle	60%	0.0%	92.0%
high	22%	0.0%	93.0%

Urbanization

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
urban	78%	0.0%	91.0%
suburban	12%	0.0%	92.0%
rural	10%	0.0%	90.0%

How to read turnout data

Turnout % = Baseline + GOTV modifier (expected turnout for this group)
GOTV ± = party boost or suppression vs baseline
Green = Higher than baseline (GOTV/canvassing boost)
Red = Lower than baseline
Modifiers decay 2% per turn toward 0