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The Region of

Marmara

Population: 13.8M
GDP: ₺157.70T
Meclis districts: 67
Lean: Centrist, Moderate
Government approval: 43.2%
Governor: Vacant

Population

100

Political lean

Econ -0.2Soc +0.3

Turnout

72.3%

Demographic categories

27

Electorate — strategy board

State projectionDSP +1

Demokratik Sol Parti 22%Doğru Yol Partisi 21%Sosyaldemokrat Halkçı Parti 20%Anavatan Partisi 18%Refah Partisi 18%50% flip line

Persuadable2 groups

100%

Persuadable100%

T

Türkler

Persuadable

Köken · 98.4% of this region's voters

Share of electorate

98.4%

Turnout habit

Reliable

73% show up

Leaning toward

No clear favorite

Persuadable

Economic lean

Centrist

Average -0.1 · Left -5 to right +5

Social lean

Traditional

Average +0.4 · Progressive -5 to traditional +5

Turnout updated: Oct 16, 2026

Ethnicity

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
turkish	92%	0.0%	74.0%
kurdish	6%	0.0%	65.0%
other	2%	0.0%	60.0%

Age distribution

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
young	36%	0.0%	68.0%
mid	30%	0.0%	74.0%
mature	20%	0.0%	76.0%
senior	14%	0.0%	72.0%

Education

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
primary_or_below	50%	0.0%	72.0%
secondary	30%	0.0%	74.0%
vocational	12%	0.0%	74.0%
university	8%	0.0%	80.0%

Household income

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
low	30%	0.0%	70.0%
middle	52%	0.0%	74.0%
high	18%	0.0%	78.0%

Urbanization

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
urban	80%	0.0%	74.0%
suburban	12%	0.0%	72.0%
rural	8%	0.0%	72.0%

How to read turnout data

Turnout % = Baseline + GOTV modifier (expected turnout for this group)
GOTV ± = party boost or suppression vs baseline
Green = Higher than baseline (GOTV/canvassing boost)
Red = Lower than baseline
Modifiers decay 2% per turn toward 0

Population

100

Political lean

Econ -0.2Soc +0.3

Turnout

72.3%

Demographic categories

27

Electorate — strategy board

State projectionDSP +1

Demokratik Sol Parti 22%Doğru Yol Partisi 21%Sosyaldemokrat Halkçı Parti 20%Anavatan Partisi 18%Refah Partisi 18%50% flip line

Persuadable2 groups

100%

Persuadable100%

T

Türkler

Persuadable

Köken · 98.4% of this region's voters

Share of electorate

98.4%

Turnout habit

Reliable

73% show up

Leaning toward

No clear favorite

Persuadable

Economic lean

Centrist

Average -0.1 · Left -5 to right +5

Social lean

Traditional

Average +0.4 · Progressive -5 to traditional +5

Turnout updated: Oct 16, 2026

Ethnicity

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
turkish	92%	0.0%	74.0%
kurdish	6%	0.0%	65.0%
other	2%	0.0%	60.0%

Age distribution

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
young	36%	0.0%	68.0%
mid	30%	0.0%	74.0%
mature	20%	0.0%	76.0%
senior	14%	0.0%	72.0%

Education

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
primary_or_below	50%	0.0%	72.0%
secondary	30%	0.0%	74.0%
vocational	12%	0.0%	74.0%
university	8%	0.0%	80.0%

Household income

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
low	30%	0.0%	70.0%
middle	52%	0.0%	74.0%
high	18%	0.0%	78.0%

Urbanization

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
urban	80%	0.0%	74.0%
suburban	12%	0.0%	72.0%
rural	8%	0.0%	72.0%

How to read turnout data

Turnout % = Baseline + GOTV modifier (expected turnout for this group)
GOTV ± = party boost or suppression vs baseline
Green = Higher than baseline (GOTV/canvassing boost)
Red = Lower than baseline
Modifiers decay 2% per turn toward 0