United Kingdom · Wales
Wales
Population2.4M
GDP£19B
Constituencies32
Political Lean
EconomicCenter-Left
SocialCenter-Trad
Government Approval62.2%
First MinisterDavid Williams
Org Pool
Org Pool
- CON55.6%
- SF21.6%
- PC18.1%
- Unaffiliated4.7%
CON leads the state with 55.6% Org.
Registration Pool
Registration Pool
- CON53.9%
- SF0.5%
- PC34.7%
- Independent3.4%
- Unregistered7.4%
Regional Conditions
Approval
62.2%
Base
50.0%
Net approval
+12
Net margin
+3pp
Low Unemployment+1 approval· +0.8ppLow Poverty Rate+1 approval· +0.8ppStrong Economic Growth+1 approval· +0.9ppLow Crime Rate+2 approval· +1.8ppFalling Crime+1 approval· +0.8ppClean Environment+2 approval· +1.2ppGreen Energy Transition+1 approval· +0.5ppStrong Recycling Culture+1 approval· +0.8ppBalanced Budget+1 approval· +0.8ppStrong Social Cohesion+1 approvalClean Water Supply+1 approval· +0.8ppFiscal Discipline+1 approval· +0.8ppAging Population-1 approvalPopulation Decline-1 approval
Economy
$19B
Unemployment
2.0%
Top sectors
- Healthcare
- Extraction & Mining
- Defense
Race Watchlist
No competitive races to watch yet.
A race appears here once its general phase begins and the top-2 candidates' vote share is within 15 percentage points.