United States · State Profile

Arkansas

The State of

Political Lean

EconomicLean Right

SocialLean Trad

Population2.3M

GDP$42B

House Districts4

Political Lean

EconomicLean Right

SocialLean Trad

Government Approval53.6%

GovernorJames Moretti

MottoThe People Rule

Org Pool

AIP40.9%
DEM39.4%
RFP8.1%
REP7.2%
Unaffiliated4.5%

AIP leads the state with 40.9% Org.

Registration Pool

AIP19.4%
DEM40.2%
RFP9.3%
REP14.5%
Independent12.0%
Unregistered4.6%

Regional Conditions

Approval

53.6%

Base

49.6%

Net approval

+4

Net margin

+3pp

Low Poverty Rate+1 approval· +0.8ppAffordable Cost of Living+1 approval· +0.9ppFalling Crime+1 approval· +0.8ppGreen Energy Transition+1 approval· +0.5ppStrong Recycling Culture+1 approval· +0.8ppBalanced Budget+1 approval· +0.8ppResearch & Development Hub+1 approval· +1.1ppStrong Defense+1 approvalFiscal Discipline+1 approval· +0.8ppHigh Immigration Pressure-1 approvalLow Life Expectancy-2 approval· -1.5ppHigh Carbon Footprint-1 approval· -0.4ppFood Insecurity-1 approval· -0.7pp

View full approval breakdown →

Economy

$42B

Unemployment

6.9%

Top sectors

Agriculture+10pp
Financial
Logistics

Contested Primaries

DEMSenate (Class III)2 candidates

Race Watchlist

Senate (Class II)HOT1.6
HouseHOT12.7