United States · State Profile
Kentucky
The Commonwealth of
Political Lean
EconomicLean Right
SocialLean Trad
Population3.7M
GDP$76B
House Districts6
Political Lean
EconomicLean Right
SocialLean Trad
Government Approval50.6%
Org Pool
Org Pool
- AIP36.5%
- REP32.2%
- COM18.9%
- RFP7.8%
- DEM3.7%
- Unaffiliated1.0%
AIP leads the state with 36.5% Org.
Registration Pool
Registration Pool
- AIP22.7%
- REP6.6%
- COM23.7%
- RFP12.9%
- DEM11.6%
- Independent21.9%
- Unregistered0.7%
Regional Conditions
Approval
50.6%
Base
49.6%
Net approval
+1
Net margin
+1.7pp
Low Poverty Rate+1 approval· +0.8ppAffordable Cost of Living+1 approval· +0.9ppFalling Crime+1 approval· +0.8ppGreen Energy Transition+1 approval· +0.5ppStrong Recycling Culture+1 approval· +0.8ppBalanced Budget+1 approval· +0.8ppResearch & Development Hub+1 approval· +1.1ppStrong Defense+1 approvalFiscal Discipline+1 approval· +0.8ppHigh Immigration Pressure-1 approvalLow Life Expectancy-2 approval· -1.5ppHigh Carbon Footprint-1 approval· -0.4ppHigh Homelessness-1 approval· -0.7ppFood Insecurity-1 approval· -0.7ppCrumbling Infrastructure-2 approval· -1.5pp
Economy
$76B
Unemployment
6.9%
Top sectors
- Logistics+5pp
- Energy
- Financial
Contested Primaries
No contested primaries in this state right now.
A primary becomes “contested” when a party fields 2+ active candidates.
Race Watchlist
- Senate (Class II)HOT3.0
- HouseHOT3.8