The State of

Maine

I Lead

Population: 1.2M
GDP: $31B
House districts: 2
Lean: Centrist, Center-Liberal
Government approval: 55.1%
Governor: Vacant

Population

100.01

Political lean

Econ -0.5Soc -0.9

Turnout

61.7%

Demographic categories

27

Local newsrooms lean Econ -2.0, Soc -2.0. They are pulling opinion toward it by about Econ -0.03, Soc -0.02 per day.

Electorate — strategy board

Persuadable4 groups

100%

Persuadable100%

WV

White voters

Unclassified

Background · 98.4% of this region's voters

Share of electorate

98.4%

Turnout habit

Occasional

59% show up

Leaning toward

No clear favorite

Persuadable

Economic lean

Centrist

Average -0.3 · Left -5 to right +5

Social lean

Liberal

Average -0.7 · Progressive -5 to traditional +5

Turnout updated: Oct 16, 2026

Race / Ethnicity

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
White	97%	+2.2%	65.2%
Black	1%	0.0%	60.0%
Hispanic	1%	0.0%	48.0%
Asian	1%	0.0%	52.0%
Other	0%	0.0%	52.0%

Education

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
No College	81%	0.0%	52.0%
College	13%	+2.3%	68.3%
Graduate	6%	0.0%	74.0%

Income

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
Low Income	28%	0.0%	44.0%
Medium Income	56%	+0.0%	60.0%
High Income	16%	0.0%	74.0%

Age

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
Young (18-29)	26%	+2.2%	40.2%
Mid (30-44)	26%	0.0%	56.0%
Mature (45-64)	27%	0.0%	66.0%
Senior (65+)	21%	0.0%	76.0%

Ideological tendencies

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
Evangelicals	7%	0.0%	77.0%
Environmentalists	11%	0.0%	66.0%
Libertarians	7%	0.0%	64.0%
Progressives	8%	0.0%	64.0%
Patriots	8%	0.0%	69.0%
Gun Owners	12%	0.0%	67.0%

How to read turnout data

Turnout % = Baseline + GOTV modifier (expected turnout for this demographic)
GOTV ± = party boost or suppression vs baseline
Green = Higher than baseline (GOTV/canvassing boost)
Red = Lower than baseline
Modifiers decay 2% per turn toward 0