Missouri | United States | A House Divided

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Population

100

Political lean

Econ +0.2Soc +0.1

Turnout

62.0%

Demographic categories

27

Local newsrooms lean Econ -2.0, Soc -2.0. They are pulling opinion toward it by about Econ -0.03, Soc -0.03 per day.

Electorate — strategy board

Persuadable4 groups

100%

Persuadable100%

WV

White voters

Unclassified

Background · 90.4% of this region's voters

Share of electorate

90.4%

Turnout habit

Occasional

58% show up

Leaning toward

No clear favorite

Persuadable

Economic lean

Centrist

Average -0.0 · Left -5 to right +5

Social lean

Moderate

Average -0.0 · Progressive -5 to traditional +5

Turnout updated: Oct 16, 2026

Race / Ethnicity

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
White	87%	+2.2%	65.2%
Black	11%	0.0%	60.0%
Hispanic	1%	0.0%	48.0%
Asian	1%	0.0%	52.0%
Other	0%	0.0%	52.0%

Education

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
No College	82%	0.0%	52.0%
College	12%	+2.2%	68.2%
Graduate	6%	0.0%	74.0%

Income

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
Low Income	30%	0.0%	44.0%
Medium Income	55%	+6.6%	66.6%
High Income	15%	0.0%	74.0%

Age

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
Young (18-29)	27%	+2.3%	40.3%
Mid (30-44)	26%	0.0%	56.0%
Mature (45-64)	26%	0.0%	66.0%
Senior (65+)	21%	0.0%	76.0%

Ideological tendencies

Group	Share	GOTV ±	Turnout %
Evangelicals	24%	0.0%	77.0%
Environmentalists	3%	0.0%	66.0%
Libertarians	6%	0.0%	64.0%
Progressives	6%	0.0%	64.0%
Patriots	13%	0.0%	69.0%
Gun Owners	16%	0.0%	67.0%

How to read turnout data

Turnout % = Baseline + GOTV modifier (expected turnout for this demographic)
GOTV ± = party boost or suppression vs baseline
Green = Higher than baseline (GOTV/canvassing boost)
Red = Lower than baseline
Modifiers decay 2% per turn toward 0