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1958 AT_STK nationalrat
General ElectionGeneral Election — Live Projection
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Live Vote Tally108.6k votes cast · 2 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Tamika EvansNPP Sozialistische Partei Österreichs | 35.6k | 32.8% |
 Österreichische Volkspartei | 30.4k | 28.0% |
 Verband der Unabhängigen | 25.0k | 23.0% |
 Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | 17.6k | 16.2% |
Persuasion Drivers
AT_STKWhy AT_STK voters lean toward Daniel Rivera over Tamika Evans. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.2 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency-0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Tamika Evans's vote can be persuaded across to Daniel Rivera, and 20.0% of Daniel Rivera's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.2 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Tamika EvansDaniel RiveraChristine JohnsonRafael Miller IV