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1958 AT_TYR nationalrat
General ElectionGeneral Election — Live Projection
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Live Vote Tally37.5k votes cast · 2 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Sozialistische Partei Österreichs | 10.8k | 28.7% |
 Österreichische Volkspartei | 10.3k | 27.4% |
 Verband der Unabhängigen | 8.3k | 22.2% |
 Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | 8.1k | 21.7% |
Persuasion Drivers
AT_TYRWhy AT_TYR voters lean toward Timothy Washington over Raj Gomez Jr.. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.5 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency-0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Raj Gomez Jr.'s vote can be persuaded across to Timothy Washington, and 20.0% of Timothy Washington's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.5 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Kevin HendersonTimothy WashingtonRaj Gomez Jr.Jeffrey Fischer