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1958 AT_VIE nationalrat
General ElectionGeneral Election — Live Projection
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Live Vote Tally109.5k votes cast · 2 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Amit HuntNPP Österreichische Volkspartei | 38.1k | 34.8% |
 Karen BanksNPP Kommunistische Partei Österreichs | 26.2k | 23.9% |
 Sozialistische Partei Österreichs | 23.6k | 21.5% |
 Miguel FoxNPP Verband der Unabhängigen | 21.6k | 19.8% |
Persuasion Drivers
AT_VIEWhy AT_VIE voters lean toward Amit Hunt over Daniel Wilson. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.2 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency+0.2 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Daniel Wilson's vote can be persuaded across to Amit Hunt, and 20.0% of Amit Hunt's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.4 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Amit HuntKaren BanksDaniel WilsonMiguel Fox