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1953 FR_ARA assembleeNationale
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results2.59M votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Alain DenisNPP Mouvement républicain populaire | 641.6k | 24.8% |
 Section française de l'Internationale ouvrière | 598.8k | 23.1% |
Rassemblement des gauches républicaines | 492.0k | 19.0% |
 Rassemblement du peuple français | 469.5k | 18.1% |
 Parti communiste français | 388.5k | 15.0% |
Persuasion Drivers
FR_ARAWhy FR_ARA voters lean toward Josette Brunet over Alain Denis. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.3 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Alain Denis's vote can be persuaded across to Josette Brunet, and 20.0% of Josette Brunet's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.3 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Alain DenisJosette BrunetPascale BertrandMadeleine GuillaumeAlain Blanchard