Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
Ellinikos Synagermos | 353.7k | 41.6% |
Omar WoodNPP Ethniki Proodeftiki Enosis Kentrou | 270.6k | 31.8% |
Eniaia Dimokratiki Aristera | 226.8k | 26.6% |
Why GR_EPC voters lean toward Nathan Graham over Omar Wood. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Omar Wood's vote can be persuaded across to Nathan Graham, and 20.0% of Nathan Graham's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.7 pts of that movable slice.