Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
Ellinikos Synagermos | 212.2k | 40.2% |
Ethniki Proodeftiki Enosis Kentrou | 178.2k | 33.8% |
Omar AdamsNPP Eniaia Dimokratiki Aristera | 137.5k | 26.1% |
Why GR_THE voters lean toward Laura Schmidt over Ryan Krause IV. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Ryan Krause IV's vote can be persuaded across to Laura Schmidt, and 20.0% of Laura Schmidt's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.6 pts of that movable slice.