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1953 KIL Dáil Race · 16 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results83.7k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Fianna Fáil | 42.5k | 50.8% |
 Labour | 25.3k | 30.2% |
 James DoyleNPP Fine Gael | 15.9k | 19.0% |
Persuasion Drivers
KILWhy KIL voters lean toward James Doyle over James McGrath. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.1 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of James McGrath's vote can be persuaded across to James Doyle, and 20.0% of James Doyle's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.1 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
James McGrathDermot McGrathJames Doyle