/KIL
1958 KIL Dáil Race · 16 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results89.8k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Labour | 28.3k | 31.5% |
 James DoyleNPP Fine Gael | 23.5k | 26.1% |
 Ciara HayesNPP Fianna Fáil | 20.6k | 22.9% |
 Fianna Fáil | 17.5k | 19.5% |
Persuasion Drivers
KILWhy KIL voters lean toward James McGrath over James Doyle. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.1 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of James Doyle's vote can be persuaded across to James McGrath, and 20.0% of James McGrath's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.1 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Dermot McGrathJames DoyleCiara HayesJames McGrath