/DON
1958 DON Gubernatorial Race
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results126.0k votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Fianna Fáil | 61.1k | 48.5% |
 Niall MurrayNPP Labour | 35.4k | 28.1% |
 Colm DohertyNPP Fine Gael | 29.4k | 23.3% |
Vote share
Persuasion Drivers
DONWhy DON voters lean toward Colm Doherty over Stephen McGrath. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.1 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Stephen McGrath's vote can be persuaded across to Colm Doherty, and 20.0% of Colm Doherty's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.1 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Stephen McGrathNiall MurrayColm Doherty