/KIL
1958 KIL Gubernatorial Race
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results105.5k votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Fianna Fáil | 44.2k | 41.9% |
 Labour | 38.2k | 36.2% |
 Ronan QuinnNPP Fine Gael | 23.0k | 21.8% |
Vote share
Persuasion Drivers
KILWhy KIL voters lean toward Ronan Quinn over Cathal Hennessy. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.9 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Cathal Hennessy's vote can be persuaded across to Ronan Quinn, and 20.0% of Ronan Quinn's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.9 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Cathal HennessySinead O'ConnorRonan Quinn