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1953 DUB Local Council Race · 62 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results256.3k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Fianna Fáil | 130.0k | 50.7% |
 Labour | 81.2k | 31.7% |
 Fine Gael | 45.0k | 17.6% |
Persuasion Drivers
DUBWhy DUB voters lean toward Ruairi McCarthy over Mark Cunningham. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-1.1 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Mark Cunningham's vote can be persuaded across to Ruairi McCarthy, and 20.0% of Ruairi McCarthy's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -1.1 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Mark CunninghamCaoimhe O'SullivanRuairi McCarthy