1953 GAL Local Council Race · 19 seats

Completed

Final Election Results

Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.

Final Results141.7k votes cast · 25 turns

Candidate	Votes	Share
Oisin MaguireNPP Fianna Fáil	82.8k	58.4%
Margaret FitzgeraldNPP Fine Gael	30.2k	21.3%
Fionn HayesNPP Labour	28.8k	20.3%

Candidate

Oisin MaguireNPP

Fianna Fáil

Votes

82.8k

58.4%

Candidate

Margaret FitzgeraldNPP

Fine Gael

Votes

30.2k

21.3%

Candidate

Fionn HayesNPP

Labour

Votes

28.8k

20.3%

Persuasion Drivers

GAL

FocusOpponent

Why GAL voters lean toward Margaret Fitzgerald over Oisin Maguire. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.

Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)

Candidate Support0.0 pts

Policy alignment-0.8 pts

Money0.0 pts

Incumbency0.0 pts

Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Oisin Maguire's vote can be persuaded across to Margaret Fitzgerald, and 20.0% of Margaret Fitzgerald's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.8 pts of that movable slice.

Election Trends

Oisin MaguireMargaret FitzgeraldFionn Hayes