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1953 LIM Local Council Race · 18 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results133.0k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Fianna Fáil | 70.2k | 52.8% |
 Labour | 39.1k | 29.4% |
 Fine Gael | 23.8k | 17.9% |
Persuasion Drivers
LIMWhy LIM voters lean toward Declan O'Neill over Maeve McLoughlin. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.6 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Maeve McLoughlin's vote can be persuaded across to Declan O'Neill, and 20.0% of Declan O'Neill's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.6 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Maeve McLoughlinSophie KennedyDeclan O'Neill