1960 NORTH_CENTRAL House of Representatives Race · 26 seats

General Election

General Election — Live Projection

Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.

Projected seat allocation

Onyinye Akinola leads with 9 of 26 seats

Onyinye Akinola9 seats

Sadiq Nwosu9 seats

Safiya Babalola8 seats

Seats update each turn from the current vote count, using largest-remainder allocation. Final allocation is set when the election closes.

Live Vote Tally384.9k votes cast · 25 turns

Candidate	Votes	Share	Seats
Onyinye AkinolaNPP Action Group	137.2k	35.6%	9
Sadiq NwosuNPP National Council of Nigeria and the Cameroons	136.0k	35.3%	9
Safiya BabalolaNPP Northern People's Congress	111.8k	29.0%	8

Candidate

Onyinye AkinolaNPP

Action Group

Votes

137.2k

35.6%

Seats

Candidate

Sadiq NwosuNPP

National Council of Nigeria and the Cameroons

Votes

136.0k

35.3%

Seats

Candidate

Safiya BabalolaNPP

Northern People's Congress

Votes

111.8k

29.0%

Seats

Persuasion Drivers

NORTH_CENTRAL

FocusOpponent

Why NORTH_CENTRAL voters lean toward Sadiq Nwosu over Onyinye Akinola. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.

Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)

Candidate Support0.0 pts

Policy alignment+0.1 pts

Money0.0 pts

Incumbency-0.0 pts

Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Onyinye Akinola's vote can be persuaded across to Sadiq Nwosu, and 20.0% of Sadiq Nwosu's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.1 pts of that movable slice.

Election Trends

Auto-scaled

Onyinye AkinolaSadiq NwosuSafiya Babalola