1960 SOUTH_EAST House of Representatives Race · 23 seats

General Election

General Election — Live Projection

Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.

Projected seat allocation

Goodluck George leads with 8 of 23 seats

Goodluck George8 seats

Adaeze Cole8 seats

Sani Macaulay7 seats

Seats update each turn from the current vote count, using largest-remainder allocation. Final allocation is set when the election closes.

Live Vote Tally371.0k votes cast · 25 turns

Candidate	Votes	Share	Seats
Goodluck GeorgeNPP Action Group	135.1k	36.4%	8
Adaeze ColeNPP Northern People's Congress	120.4k	32.4%	8
Sani MacaulayNPP National Council of Nigeria and the Cameroons	115.6k	31.1%	7

Candidate

Goodluck GeorgeNPP

Action Group

Votes

135.1k

36.4%

Seats

Candidate

Adaeze ColeNPP

Northern People's Congress

Votes

120.4k

32.4%

Seats

Candidate

Sani MacaulayNPP

National Council of Nigeria and the Cameroons

Votes

115.6k

31.1%

Seats

Persuasion Drivers

SOUTH_EAST

FocusOpponent

Why SOUTH_EAST voters lean toward Goodluck George over Sani Macaulay. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.

Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)

Candidate Support0.0 pts

Policy alignment+0.2 pts

Money0.0 pts

Incumbency+0.1 pts

Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Sani Macaulay's vote can be persuaded across to Goodluck George, and 20.0% of Goodluck George's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.3 pts of that movable slice.

Election Trends

Auto-scaled

Goodluck GeorgeAdaeze ColeSani Macaulay