/TR_MED
1954 TR_MED milletMeclisi
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results948.7k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Serpil AltunNPP Demokrat Parti | 482.7k | 50.9% |
 Gokhan KaraNPP Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi | 466.0k | 49.1% |
Persuasion Drivers
TR_MEDWhy TR_MED voters lean toward Serpil Altun over Gokhan Kara. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.7 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Gokhan Kara's vote can be persuaded across to Serpil Altun, and 20.0% of Serpil Altun's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.7 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Serpil AltunGokhan Kara