/TR_SEA
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1953 TR_SEA milletMeclisi
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results836.9k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Mehmet CetinNPP Demokrat Parti | 507.6k | 60.6% |
 Osman SonmezNPP Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi | 329.4k | 39.4% |
Persuasion Drivers
TR_SEAWhy TR_SEA voters lean toward Mehmet Cetin over Osman Sonmez. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.5 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Osman Sonmez's vote can be persuaded across to Mehmet Cetin, and 20.0% of Mehmet Cetin's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.5 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Mehmet CetinOsman Sonmez