/TR_MED
PreviousNext
1953 TR_MED senato
CompletedFinal Election Results
Seats projected by demographic reach and regional support each turn.
Final Results842.3k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Onur ArslanNPP Demokrat Parti | 558.9k | 66.3% |
 Derya CakirNPP Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi | 283.5k | 33.7% |
Persuasion Drivers
TR_MEDWhy TR_MED voters lean toward Onur Arslan over Derya Cakir. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.4 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Derya Cakir's vote can be persuaded across to Onur Arslan, and 20.0% of Onur Arslan's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.4 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Onur ArslanDerya Cakir