/Idaho
1954 Idaho Gubernatorial Race
CompletedFinal Election Results
Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
Final Results244.9k votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Aisha GuptaNPP Democratic Party | 126.3k | 51.6% |
 Tamika BrownNPP Farmer-Labor Party | 118.6k | 48.4% |
Vote share
Persuasion Drivers
IDWhy Idaho voters lean toward Aisha Gupta over Tamika Brown. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.3 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Tamika Brown's vote can be persuaded across to Aisha Gupta, and 20.0% of Aisha Gupta's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.3 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Aisha GuptaTamika Brown