/Maine
1954 Maine Gubernatorial Race
CompletedFinal Election Results
Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
Final Results406.3k votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Jamal MarinoNPP Democratic Party | 256.1k | 63.0% |
 Lin DukeNPP Farmer-Labor Party | 150.2k | 37.0% |
Vote share
Persuasion Drivers
MEWhy Maine voters lean toward Lin Duke over Jamal Marino. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.1 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Jamal Marino's vote can be persuaded across to Lin Duke, and 20.0% of Lin Duke's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.1 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Jamal MarinoLin Duke