Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 448.3k | 60.0% |
Laura MarinoNPP Farmer-Labor Party | 299.4k | 40.0% |
Why Mississippi voters lean toward Rachel Wiśniewski over Laura Marino. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Laura Marino's vote can be persuaded across to Rachel Wiśniewski, and 20.0% of Rachel Wiśniewski's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.1 pts of that movable slice.