/North Carolina
1956 North Carolina House Race · 12 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
Final seat allocation
Saucy Santana won 9 of 12 seats
Saucy Santana9 seats
Jasmine Morales3 seats
Final Results1.55M votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.21M | 78.2% | 9 | |
 Farmer-Labor Party | 338.4k | 21.8% | 3 |
Persuasion Drivers
NCWhy North Carolina voters lean toward Saucy Santana over Jasmine Morales. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.2 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Jasmine Morales's vote can be persuaded across to Saucy Santana, and 20.0% of Saucy Santana's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.2 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Saucy SantanaJasmine Morales