Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
2 seats, apportioned by share. A Hare quota of 73,638 votes buys one seat; 1 of the 2 were settled on largest remainder.
Why Rhode Island voters lean toward Latoya Tran over Linda Watson. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Linda Watson's vote can be persuaded across to Latoya Tran, and 20.0% of Latoya Tran's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 1.4 pts of that movable slice.