/Utah
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1953 Utah House Race · 2 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
Final seat allocation
Michael Harrison won 1 of 2 seats
Michael Harrison1 seat
Victoria Parker1 seat
Final Results224.6k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|
 Farmer-Labor Party | 157.1k | 69.9% | 1 |
 Democratic Party | 67.6k | 30.1% | 1 |
Persuasion Drivers
UTWhy Utah voters lean toward Victoria Parker over Michael Harrison. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.4 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Michael Harrison's vote can be persuaded across to Victoria Parker, and 20.0% of Victoria Parker's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.4 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Michael HarrisonVictoria Parker