Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
Vikram CookNPP Farmer-Labor Party | 58.9k | 54.8% |
Democratic Party | 48.6k | 45.2% |
Why Delaware voters lean toward Stephanie Young over Vikram Cook. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Vikram Cook's vote can be persuaded across to Stephanie Young, and 20.0% of Stephanie Young's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.2 pts of that movable slice.