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1953 Iowa Senate Race (Class III)
CompletedFinal Election Results
Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
Final Results919.1k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Farmer-Labor Party | 552.9k | 60.2% |
 Democratic Party | 366.2k | 39.8% |
Vote share
Persuasion Drivers
IAWhy Iowa voters lean toward Ryan Gallo III over Rafael Warren. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.0 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Rafael Warren's vote can be persuaded across to Ryan Gallo III, and 20.0% of Ryan Gallo III's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.0 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Rafael WarrenRyan Gallo III