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1953 Idaho Senate Race (Class III)
CompletedFinal Election Results
Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
Final Results186.9k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Farmer-Labor Party | 125.0k | 66.9% |
 Democratic Party | 61.9k | 33.1% |
Vote share
Persuasion Drivers
IDWhy Idaho voters lean toward Patrick Grant over Stephanie Spencer. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.1 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Stephanie Spencer's vote can be persuaded across to Patrick Grant, and 20.0% of Patrick Grant's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.1 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Stephanie SpencerPatrick Grant