/Louisiana
1954 Louisiana Senate Race (Class III)
CompletedFinal Election Results
Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
Final Results839.3k votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
 Paul CarterNPP Democratic Party | 500.2k | 59.6% |
 Jin GreenNPP Farmer-Labor Party | 339.1k | 40.4% |
Vote share
Persuasion Drivers
LAWhy Louisiana voters lean toward Paul Carter over Jin Green. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.1 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Jin Green's vote can be persuaded across to Paul Carter, and 20.0% of Paul Carter's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.1 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Paul CarterJin Green