Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
Democratic Party | 569.5k | 52.8% |
Farmer-Labor Party | 509.6k | 47.2% |
Why Minnesota voters lean toward Mei Henderson over Christopher Harris. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Christopher Harris's vote can be persuaded across to Mei Henderson, and 20.0% of Mei Henderson's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.0 pts of that movable slice.