1953 Missouri Senate Race (Class III)

Completed

Final Election Results

Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.

Final Results1.41M votes cast · 25 turns

Candidate	Votes	Share
Rebecca MadisonNPP Democratic Party	771.7k	54.7%
Lin WagnerNPP Farmer-Labor Party	638.7k	45.3%

Candidate

Rebecca MadisonNPP

Democratic Party

Votes

771.7k

54.7%

Candidate

Lin WagnerNPP

Farmer-Labor Party

Votes

638.7k

45.3%

Vote share

Persuasion Drivers

FocusOpponent

Why Missouri voters lean toward Rebecca Madison over Lin Wagner. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.

Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)

Candidate Support0.0 pts

Policy alignment-0.0 pts

Money0.0 pts

Incumbency0.0 pts

Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Lin Wagner's vote can be persuaded across to Rebecca Madison, and 20.0% of Rebecca Madison's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.0 pts of that movable slice.

Election Trends

Auto-scaled

Rebecca MadisonLin Wagner