1953 Oklahoma Senate Race (Class II)

Completed

Final Election Results

Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.

Final Results746.1k votes cast · 25 turns

Candidate	Votes	Share
Kenneth SchwartzNPP Democratic Party	376.5k	50.5%
Lawrence O'BrienNPP Farmer-Labor Party	369.6k	49.5%

Candidate

Kenneth SchwartzNPP

Democratic Party

Votes

376.5k

50.5%

Candidate

Lawrence O'BrienNPP

Farmer-Labor Party

Votes

369.6k

49.5%

Vote share

Persuasion Drivers

FocusOpponent

Why Oklahoma voters lean toward Kenneth Schwartz over Lawrence O'Brien. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.

Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)

Candidate Support0.0 pts

Policy alignment-0.0 pts

Money0.0 pts

Incumbency0.0 pts

Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Lawrence O'Brien's vote can be persuaded across to Kenneth Schwartz, and 20.0% of Kenneth Schwartz's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.0 pts of that movable slice.

Election Trends

Auto-scaled

Kenneth SchwartzLawrence O'Brien