/Oregon
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1953 Oregon Senate Race (Class II)
CompletedFinal Election Results
Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
Final Results548.0k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| 320.4k | 58.5% | |
 Miguel GalloNPP Democratic Party | 227.6k | 41.5% |
Vote share
Persuasion Drivers
ORWhy Oregon voters lean toward Miguel Gallo over Anna Paulina Luna. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.4 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Anna Paulina Luna's vote can be persuaded across to Miguel Gallo, and 20.0% of Miguel Gallo's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.4 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Anna Paulina LunaMiguel Gallo