Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
Rosa SimmonsNPP Farmer-Labor Party | 65.9k | 66.3% |
Democratic Party | 33.5k | 33.7% |
Why Wyoming voters lean toward Rachel Jefferson over Rosa Simmons. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Rosa Simmons's vote can be persuaded across to Rachel Jefferson, and 20.0% of Rachel Jefferson's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.1 pts of that movable slice.