/Delaware
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1953 Delaware State Senate Race · 21 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
Final seat allocation
Rosa Weber won 12 of 21 seats
Rosa Weber12 seats
Jasmine O'Connor9 seats
Final Results114.2k votes cast · 25 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|
 Farmer-Labor Party | 64.8k | 56.7% | 12 |
 Democratic Party | 49.4k | 43.3% | 9 |
Persuasion Drivers
DEWhy Delaware voters lean toward Jasmine O'Connor over Rosa Weber. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.1 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Rosa Weber's vote can be persuaded across to Jasmine O'Connor, and 20.0% of Jasmine O'Connor's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.1 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Rosa WeberJasmine O'Connor