Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
| Candidate | Votes | Share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|
Farmer-Labor Party | 494.0k | 68.5% | 27 |
Democratic Party | 227.2k | 31.5% | 13 |
Why Kansas voters lean toward Jessica Cunningham over Michelle O'Connor. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Michelle O'Connor's vote can be persuaded across to Jessica Cunningham, and 20.0% of Jessica Cunningham's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.1 pts of that movable slice.