/Louisiana
1954 Louisiana State Senate Race · 39 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
Final seat allocation
Emily Shaw won 23 of 39 seats
Emily Shaw23 seats
Diane DeLuca16 seats
Final Results891.8k votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|
 Democratic Party | 532.6k | 59.7% | 23 |
 Farmer-Labor Party | 359.2k | 40.3% | 16 |
Persuasion Drivers
LAWhy Louisiana voters lean toward Emily Shaw over Diane DeLuca. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.2 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Diane DeLuca's vote can be persuaded across to Emily Shaw, and 20.0% of Emily Shaw's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.2 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Emily ShawDiane DeLuca