/Massachusetts
1954 Massachusetts State Senate Race · 40 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
Final seat allocation
Lawrence Smith won 22 of 40 seats
Lawrence Smith22 seats
Hassan Johnson18 seats
Final Results1.95M votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|
 Democratic Party | 1.06M | 54.3% | 22 |
 Farmer-Labor Party | 891.8k | 45.7% | 18 |
Persuasion Drivers
MAWhy Massachusetts voters lean toward Lawrence Smith over Hassan Johnson. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.2 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Hassan Johnson's vote can be persuaded across to Lawrence Smith, and 20.0% of Lawrence Smith's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.2 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Lawrence SmithHassan Johnson