/Minnesota
1954 Minnesota State Senate Race · 67 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
Final seat allocation
Ronald Parker won 39 of 67 seats
Ronald Parker39 seats
Ebony Nelson28 seats
Final Results1.20M votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|
 Farmer-Labor Party | 688.5k | 57.6% | 39 |
 Democratic Party | 506.6k | 42.4% | 28 |
Persuasion Drivers
MNWhy Minnesota voters lean toward Ebony Nelson over Ronald Parker. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment+0.3 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Ronald Parker's vote can be persuaded across to Ebony Nelson, and 20.0% of Ebony Nelson's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to 0.3 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Ronald ParkerEbony Nelson