/Missouri
1954 Missouri State Senate Race · 34 seats
CompletedFinal Election Results
Votes allocated by demographic reach each turn. Final 4 turns = 25%; earlier turns = 75%.
Final seat allocation
Rebecca Madison won 19 of 34 seats
Rebecca Madison19 seats
Andrew Mueller15 seats
Final Results1.45M votes cast · 49 turns
| Candidate | Votes | Share | Seats |
|---|---|---|---|
 Democratic Party | 802.4k | 55.2% | 19 |
 Farmer-Labor Party | 651.7k | 44.8% | 15 |
Persuasion Drivers
MOWhy Missouri voters lean toward Andrew Mueller over Rebecca Madison. Each driver is signed: + = lift, − = drag. Drivers are relative within this list and only move the persuadable slice of each party's vote, so their real effect is small. Coattail rows are direct share tilts in %. A raw vote lead does not equal the sum of these bars.
Persuasion drivers (pts of the persuadable slice)
Candidate Support0.0 pts
Policy alignment-0.2 pts
Money0.0 pts
Incumbency0.0 pts
Ceiling this cycle: at most 20.0% of Rebecca Madison's vote can be persuaded across to Andrew Mueller, and 20.0% of Andrew Mueller's vote can be persuaded away. Registration lean sets the starting split and how hard a party is to move, not the final share. These drivers add up to -0.2 pts of that movable slice.
Election Trends
Auto-scaled
Rebecca MadisonAndrew Mueller